Oscar Predictions 2014–The 86th Annual Academy Awards

This post is the unedited copy of the feature article published in Images on Sunday, on the 3rd of February 2014. The originals copy is linked and attached below.

OscarPredictions2014

The Oscar’s, Come Tomorrow

By Mohammad Kamran Jawaid and Farheen Jawaid

Every year, right about this time, we ask ourselves the annual, perennial, question: So, who do you think will win at the Oscars?

The answer differs, depending on categories personal preference – and let no one tell you otherwise. There is no clear-cut way to interpret the six thousand minds of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) voters.

Industry marketing pushes and the various guilds tilt do help predict certain categories – for example, a good number of Screen Actors Guild’s 105,000 members, the Producers Guild’s 4700 and the Writers Guild’s 23,000 members, amongst other guilds, are also in the AMPAS. Still, when a film gains “Oscar momentum”, there is really no knowing who may be persuaded to vote for whom; unless, of course, the voter is biased against a particular film – an oft-found peculiarity of every industry – in which case, expect spur-of-the-moment upsets.

This is our 9th year predicting the Oscars. Let us take you in on a little secret: it is never easy. Both American Hustle and Gravity seem too big to ignore, with ten nominations each; however, as we’ve seen time and again, sometimes a film with just one nomination may beat the bigger contender.

It is impossible to speculate who will win what with certainty, without some serious homework. In the award race, that means a lot of movie watching. Every year we predict winners, while presenting an opinion of who may win, according to our own favorites in the race.

Matthew McConaughey, Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club), Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine) and Alfonso Cuarón (Gravity) are undisputed winners. On the other hand, the Editing category is a particular mind-boggler.

For Foreign Film, one of us preferred Belgium’s The Broken Circle Breakdown about a bluegrass singing couple who deal with their rocky marriage after their child dies of cancer, while the other one favored The Great Beauty, about a “lost” writer in Rome.

In Documentary, we both favored The Square, a critical chronicle of Egypt’s youth movement against their decade’s long government regime. However, 20 Feet from Stardom, about background singers and their career obstacles, may be more familiar to American voters. Maybe the industry-wide wave may pick-up The Act of Killing which addresses Indonesia’s “treatment” of China’s communism, as told from the perspective of local gangsters who want to make a movie on what they did years ago.

The only categories we left out are the short films, because we seldom get the opportunity to see every nominated title.

This year, we expect some upsets – but what’s a year without upsets, anyway? There have been a few unanticipated twists in the award race as late as last week, which I think will add a few “Oooh” moments at tomorrow’s award ceremony. Keep this guide handy – it’s going to be quite a bit of (serious) fun.

Now, without further ado, here are the “predicted” winners of the 86th Annual Academy Awards:

Picture

  • Win – 12 Years a Slave
  • MKJ/FJ – Gravity

DIRECTOR

  • Unanimous – Alfonso Cuarón, “Gravity”

Actor

  • Unanimous – Matthew McConaughey, “Dallas Buyers Club”
  • Upset – Chiwetel Ejiofor, “12 Years a Slave”

ACTRESS

  • Unanimous – Cate Blanchett, “Blue Jasmine”

SUPPORTING ACTOR

  • Unanimous – Jared Leto, “Dallas Buyers Club”

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

  • Win/FJ – Lupita Nyong’o, “12 Years a Slave”
  • MKJ – Jennifer Lawrence, “American Hustle”

SCREENPLAY – ADAPTED

  • Win/FJ – 12 Years a Slave
  • MKJ – Captain Phillips

SCREENPLAY – ORIGINAL

  • Win/MKJ – Her
  • FJ – American Hustle

DOCUMENTARY

  • Win – 20 Feet From Stardom
  • MKJ/FJ – The Square
  • Upset – The Act of Killing

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

  • Win/FJ – The Great Beauty (Italy)
  • MKJ – The Broken Circle Breakdown (Belgium)

CINEMATOGRAPHY

  • Unanimous – Gravity

ANIMATED FEATURE

  • Win/MKJ – Frozen
  • FJ – The Wind Rises

COSTUME DESIGN

  • Unanimous – The Great Gatsby
  • Upset – American Hustle or 12 Years a Slave

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

  • Win/MKJ – Dallas Buyers Club
  • FJ – Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa

ORIGINAL SCORE

  • Win/MKJ – Gravity
  • FJ – Saving Mr. Banks
  • Upset – Her

ORIGINAL SONG

  • Unanimous – “Let it Go” from “Frozen”

PRODUCTION DESIGN

  • Unanimous – The Great Gatsby
  • Upset – Gravity

EDITING

  • Win – Gravity
  • MKJ/FJ – Captain Phillips
  • Upset – American Hustle

SOUND EDITING

  • Win/FJ – Gravity
  • MKJ – Captain Phillips

SOUND MIXING

  • Unanimous – Gravity

VISUAL EFFECTS

  • Unanimous – Gravity

The Published version is here http://www.dawn.com/news/1090487/academy-awards-the-oscars-come-tomorrow

And it looks like this:

Feb 03 2014 - Oscar Predictions Full Page

Oscar Predictions 2014 - Blog

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